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XCF Global, Inc.

XCF Global, Inc. is a U.S.-based clean-fuels company focused on developing and commercializing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and related modular production facilities. The business combines proprietary process technology, facility design, and intellectual property with plans to license its modular plant model in selected international markets.

Revenue20.8m USD
Operating profit (EBIT)-67.9m USD
−220.6 %y/y
EBIT margin-326.1%
Net income74.0m USD
+407.0 %y/y

Fiscal year 2025 · change from previous year

Development 2024–2025

-80-60-40-2002040m USD2024: 0.00 m USD2024: EBIT -21 m USD20242025: 21 m USD2025: EBIT -68 m USD202521-68
RevenueOperating profit (EBIT)

Business

Share of revenue
Sustainable aviation fuel70 %

Low-carbon jet fuel sold to aviation and fuel-market participants.

Technology licensing20 %

Licensing of proprietary modular facility design and related IP.

Facility development and deployment10 %

Design, development, and commercialization of SAF production plants.

Products

Reported · share of revenue
54.1%45.2%FY2025100 %
  • Renewable Diesel Products54.1 %
  • Renewable Diesel Environmental Credits45.2 %
  • Naphtha Product Sales0.6 %

Source: 10-K FY2025, revenue the company reports per product line (SEC XBRL). Shares are of the lines shown and add up to 100 %.

Customers

XCF’s primary customers are expected to be commercial airlines and other jet-fleet operators that need SAF to reduce lifecycle emissions and meet fuel procurement or regulatory goals. The company also targets third-party industrial partners and licensees that may deploy its modular facility design in international jurisdictions. Its customer base is tied to aviation fuel demand, renewable-fuel adoption, and the ability of partners to build and operate SAF assets.

Commercial airlines

Buy SAF for jet fleets to support emissions-reduction targets and fuel sourcing needs.

Jet-fleet operators

Purchase SAF for aviation operations where lower-carbon fuel is required or preferred.

International licensees

Adopt XCF’s modular facility design and IP to build SAF production assets abroad.

Renewable fuel partners

Work with XCF on commercialization, deployment, and market access for SAF projects.

Strategy

XCF’s strategy centers on commercializing SAF through proprietary modular production facilities and extending that model through licensing. The company is also pursuing international expansion via third-party deployment of its technology, which can scale more capital-efficiently than building every facility itself.

Scale SAF commercializationMedium term

SAF is the core product and the basis for customer adoption and market entry.

License modular facility technologyMedium term

Licensing can broaden reach while reducing capital intensity.

Protect intellectual propertyShort term

Technology value depends on preventing unauthorized use and preserving differentiation.

Geography

XCF is headquartered in the United States and its core development and corporate activities are U.S.-based. The company has also described an international growth strategy built around licensing its modular facility design and intellectual property to third parties in foreign jurisdictions, which expands its addressable market but adds regulatory and execution complexity.

Risks

XCF faces execution risk in a competitive SAF market where larger or better-capitalized entrants may have stronger feedstock access, technology, and customer relationships. The business is also exposed to project, regulatory, and partner-performance risk because its international strategy depends on third parties, local permitting, and effective IP protection. As a development-stage company, it also carries financing and going-concern risk until it can secure sufficient capital and complete its business plan.

Sorted by severity
LowMediumHighLowMediumHighImpact →Likelihood →Funding and going-concern risk1Competition from existing and new SAF producers2Feedstock and technology disadvantage3International execution and regulatory risk4Intellectual property protection risk5
Impact is the risk’s severity and likelihood how probable it is over the next few years, both assessed from the company’s reports. Numbers match the list.
  1. Funding and going-concern riskImpact: CriticalLikelihood: High

    The company needs substantial additional financing to execute its plan.

    Exposure: Corporate continuity and project development

  2. Competition from existing and new SAF producersImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    Rivals may have greater scale, experience, capital, and customer relationships.

    Exposure: SAF product sales and market share

  3. Feedstock and technology disadvantageImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    Competitors may secure better feedstocks or develop lower-cost technologies.

    Exposure: Production economics and pricing power

  4. International execution and regulatory riskImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    Foreign permitting, tax, environmental, and trade regimes can delay projects.

    Exposure: Licensing rollout outside the U.S.

  5. Intellectual property protection riskImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    Unauthorized use or infringement could erode differentiation and licensing value.

    Exposure: Proprietary modular facility design and IP

Accounting

Judgemental items
Fair value of 2024 Non-Redemption Agreements

Valuation relies on likelihood-weighted scenario analysis and significant estimates.

Impact: Can materially change reported earnings and liabilities

Going-concern assessment

Management has disclosed substantial doubt about continuing operations without financing.

Impact: Affects liquidity disclosures and investor assessment of continuity

Internal control over financial reporting

Material weaknesses were identified in Legacy XCF controls.

Impact: Raises risk of misstatement and delayed reporting

Formation and transaction costs

Early-stage results are dominated by SPAC/business-combination related costs.

Impact: Distorts comparability with operating companies

Publicly listed companies with a comparable business focus.

Last updated: 24/09/2026