GEONYSEGeneral Bldg Contractors - Residential BldgsUS GAAP · USD

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT

GEO Group is a U.S.-based operator of secure facilities, processing centers, reentry facilities, and electronic monitoring programs for government agencies. The company also develops and finances new correctional and community-based facilities and runs international operations in Australia, South Africa, and through a UK secure-transport joint venture.

Revenue2,632m USD
+8.6 %y/y
Operating profit (EBIT)257m USD
−16.9 %y/y
EBIT margin9.8%
−3.0 ppy/y
Net income254m USD
+695.8 %y/y
Free cash flow-125m USD
−176.4 %y/y

Fiscal year 2025 · change from previous year

Development 2020–2025

01,0002,0003,000m USD2020: 2,350 m USD2020: EBIT 223 m USD20202021: 2,257 m USD2021: EBIT 288 m USD20212022: 2,377 m USD2022: EBIT 383 m USD20222023: 2,413 m USD2023: EBIT 352 m USD20232024: 2,424 m USD2024: EBIT 310 m USD20242025: 2,632 m USD2025: EBIT 257 m USD20252,632257
RevenueOperating profit (EBIT)

Business

Share of revenue
U.S. Secure Services55 %

Ownership and management of secure detention and correctional facilities for government customers.

Electronic Monitoring and Supervision15 %

Radio frequency, GPS, and alcohol monitoring devices plus supervision services for offenders in the community.

Reentry Services10 %

Community-based residential and treatment programs that support transition from custody to release.

International Services12 %

Secure facility management and secure transportation services in Australia, South Africa, and the UK joint venture.

Facility Development and Other Services8 %

Design, construction, financing, and related project development for new secure facilities.

Products

Reported · share of revenue
52.8%24.4%16.6%FY2025100 %
  • Owned and Leased Corrections and Detention52.8 %
  • Managed Only24.4 %
  • Electronic Monitoring Services and Other Reentry16.6 %
  • Owned and Leased Community Based6.2 %

Source: 10-K FY2025, revenue the company reports per product line (SEC XBRL). Shares are of the lines shown and add up to 100 %.

Customers

GEO sells primarily to government agencies, especially U.S. federal agencies, state governments, and select international public-sector customers. Its business depends on long-term contracts for detention capacity, supervision services, and transportation, with demand driven by government policy, bed utilization, and contract renewals.

U.S. Federal Government agencies

Buy secure detention and electronic monitoring services; the company says these agencies represented 67% of consolidated revenue in 2025.

U.S. state governments

Contract for secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry programs to supplement public capacity.

International government customers

Buy facility management and secure transport services in Australia, South Africa, and the UK joint venture.

Community supervision participants

Individuals placed on electronic monitoring or reentry programs, typically through government referrals.

Strategy

Management is focused on preserving liquidity, funding capital projects, and maintaining contract-backed cash flow from operations. The company also continues to pursue asset sales, acquisitions, and other strategic transactions while managing capital expenditures and debt obligations.

Maintain liquidity and debt capacityShort term

The business is capital intensive and depends on ongoing access to cash, credit, and refinancing.

Optimize capital deploymentMedium term

Facility development and maintenance spending must be balanced against contract returns and leverage.

Grow through contract retention and selective transactionsMedium term

Long-term government relationships and portfolio changes can extend the revenue base.

Geography

The company’s core business is in the United States, where most revenue is tied to federal and state government contracts. International operations are concentrated in Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom through GEOAmey, which adds diversification but also exposes the company to local regulatory and political conditions.

Risks

GEO’s earnings are highly exposed to government contract concentration, regulatory compliance, and policy shifts affecting detention and supervision demand. The company also faces operational and financial risks from facility ownership, construction projects, technology supply chains, cybersecurity, and a meaningful debt load.

Sorted by severity
LowMediumHighLowMediumHighImpact →Likelihood →Customer concentration1Regulatory and contractual compliance2Interest-rate and refinancing risk3Technology obsolescence and supplier disruption4Construction and asset impairment5
Impact is the risk’s severity and likelihood how probable it is over the next few years, both assessed from the company’s reports. Numbers match the list.
  1. Customer concentrationImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    A large share of revenue comes from U.S. federal agencies, making results sensitive to contract changes and policy shifts.

    Exposure: Various agencies of the U.S. Federal Government accounted for 67% of 2025 revenue.

  2. Regulatory and contractual complianceImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    The business operates under detailed government contracts and correctional regulations; failures can lead to termination, penalties, or litigation.

  3. Interest-rate and refinancing riskImpact: HighLikelihood: Medium

    Variable-rate borrowings and large senior notes expose the company to higher interest expense and refinancing pressure.

  4. Technology obsolescence and supplier disruptionImpact: MediumLikelihood: Medium

    Electronic monitoring products rely on components and evolving technology; shortages or redesign needs can disrupt sales.

    Exposure: Microchip shortages and tariff-related cost pressure were specifically cited.

  5. Construction and asset impairmentImpact: MediumLikelihood: Low

    Facility development and idle facilities can create cost overruns, write-downs, or underutilized assets.

Accounting

Judgemental items
Idle facilities / asset impairment

Idle or underused facilities may need write-downs if carrying values exceed recoverable amounts.

Impact: Can materially affect operating income and asset values.

Goodwill and intangible impairment

Acquisitions and contract-related intangibles require periodic impairment assessment.

Impact: Potential non-cash charges if contract economics deteriorate.

Stock-based compensation

Management noted higher stock-based compensation as a driver of G&A growth.

Impact: Raises operating expenses and affects comparability across periods.

Interest expense on variable-rate debt

Borrowings under the Credit Agreement are indexed to variable rates.

Impact: Changes in rates flow directly into earnings and cash interest.

Publicly listed companies with a comparable business focus.

Last updated: 24/09/2026