MBINYSESurety InsuranceUS GAAP · USD

MBIA Inc

MBIA Inc. is a U.S.-based financial guarantee insurer that writes insurance on public finance, structured finance and related obligations through its operating subsidiaries, including National and MBIA Insurance Corporation. Its business is to stand behind debt service payments on insured bonds and structured obligations, with a large part of the current portfolio tied to Puerto Rico public power exposures and other long-dated credits.

Liikevaihto80,0milj. USD
+90,5 %v/v
Nettotulos−177milj. USD
+60,4 %v/v
Vapaa kassavirta38,0milj. USD
+121,6 %v/v

Tilikausi 2025 · muutos edellisvuodesta

Kehitys 2020–2025

0100200300milj. USD2020: 282 milj. USD20202021: 189 milj. USD20212022: 154 milj. USD20222023: 7,0 milj. USD20232024: 42 milj. USD20242025: 80 milj. USD202580
LiikevaihtoLiikevoitto (EBIT)

Liiketoiminta

Osuus liikevaihdosta
Public finance financial guarantees55 %

Insurance policies that guarantee debt service on municipal, territorial and other public-sector obligations.

Structured finance guarantees25 %

Guarantees on structured credit exposures, including RMBS and other securitized obligations.

Puerto Rico exposures10 %

Legacy guarantees tied to PREPA and other Puerto Rico-related public finance credits.

Reinsurance and portfolio risk reduction5 %

Third-party and intercompany reinsurance used to manage legacy insured exposure.

Investment and other income5 %

Income from the insurance subsidiaries' investment portfolios and related activities.

Asiakkaat

MBIA's customers are issuers of public finance and structured obligations that want credit enhancement to lower borrowing costs and broaden investor demand. The company also serves legacy insured portfolios where bondholders, trustees and restructuring counterparties are indirectly affected by MBIA's guarantee obligations. A significant current focus is Puerto Rico public power credits, especially PREPA, where the insurer remains exposed to long-dated debt service claims.

Municipal and public finance issuers

They buy financial guarantees to improve market access and reduce borrowing costs on public debt.

Structured finance counterparties

They use MBIA's guarantees on securitized and structured obligations, including legacy RMBS-related exposures.

Puerto Rico public power credits

PREPA and related Puerto Rico exposures remain a major legacy risk and servicing focus.

Reinsurance counterparties

They participate in transactions that reduce or transfer selected insured exposures.

Strategia

MBIA's near-term strategy is centered on managing down legacy risk, especially Puerto Rico exposures, while preserving statutory capital and regulatory flexibility. The company is also reducing complexity through actions such as the dissolution of MBIA Mexico and selective use of reinsurance to manage portfolio risk.

Manage Puerto Rico exposure, especially PREPALyhyt aikaväli

PREPA remains the largest remaining Puerto Rico exposure and a key driver of claim risk and reserve uncertainty.

Protect statutory capital and liquidityLyhyt aikaväli

Insurance regulation in New York constrains dividends, capital actions and risk-taking, so capital preservation is central to flexibility.

Reduce legacy complexity and non-core entitiesKeskipitkä aikaväli

Simplifying the structure can release capital and reduce administrative and regulatory burden.

Maantiede

MBIA is headquartered and primarily regulated in New York, with its insurance subsidiaries licensed in multiple jurisdictions to issue financial guarantee policies. Business exposure is concentrated in the United States, but the company also has non-U.S. legacy and regulatory touchpoints, including the dissolution of MBIA Mexico and some international structured finance premiums.

Riskit

MBIA's main risks come from credit deterioration in insured public finance and structured finance portfolios, especially Puerto Rico-related exposures and other fiscally stressed issuers. Because the business depends on long-dated loss estimates and reserve models, changes in economic conditions, interest rates, legal outcomes and recovery assumptions can materially change reported results and capital needs.

Järjestetty vakavuuden mukaan
MatalaKohtalainenKorkeaMatalaKohtalainenKorkeaVaikutus →Todennäköisyys →Puerto Rico / PREPA credit losses1Loss reserve inadequacy2Municipal fiscal stress and Chapter 9 restructurings3Macro and political shocks4
Vaikutus on riskin vakavuus ja todennäköisyys sen toteutumisen todennäköisyys lähivuosina, molemmat arvioitu yhtiön raporttien perusteella. Numerot vastaavat listaa.
  1. Puerto Rico / PREPA credit lossesVaikutus: KorkeaTodennäköisyys: Korkea

    National's largest remaining Puerto Rico exposure is PREPA, which is still in a PROMESA proceeding and could generate claim payments or impairments.

    Kohdistuu: Insured debt service outstanding related to PREPA

  2. Loss reserve inadequacyVaikutus: KorkeaTodennäköisyys: Korkea

    MBIA's reserves depend on management judgment, probability-weighted models and discount-rate assumptions, which may not match actual outcomes.

    Kohdistuu: Financial guarantee claims and recoveries

  3. Municipal fiscal stress and Chapter 9 restructuringsVaikutus: KeskitasoTodennäköisyys: Korkea

    Weak state, local and territorial finances can raise default rates and impair insured obligations.

    Kohdistuu: Public finance portfolio

  4. Macro and political shocksVaikutus: KeskitasoTodennäköisyys: Korkea

    Recessions, pandemics, natural disasters and political intervention can weaken obligors and recovery prospects.

    Kohdistuu: U.S. and international insured credits

  5. Regulatory and capital constraintsVaikutus: Keskitaso

    Insurance subsidiaries are subject to New York and other state solvency, investment and transaction approvals.

    KohdistuuDividendsCapital releasesCorporate actions

Kirjanpito

Harkinnanvaraiset erät
Loss and LAE reserves

These reserves are central to MBIA's reported liabilities and can materially change with assumptions about defaults, recoveries and discount rates.

Vaikutus: Directly affects claims expense, liabilities and capital

Discount-rate sensitivity

Reserve values are discounted using risk-free rates, so rate changes can increase or decrease reported losses.

Vaikutus: Creates earnings volatility from interest-rate movements

Fair value measurements

Investment fair value changes and fair value option elections can affect net income and other comprehensive income.

Vaikutus: Impacts investment gains/losses and equity

VIE consolidation

Consolidated VIEs can add revenue, expenses and eliminations that are not representative of core insurance economics.

Vaikutus: Can distort comparability across periods

Julkisesti listattuja yhtiöitä, joilla on samankaltainen liiketoiminta.

Päivitetty: 24.9.2026

MBIA Inc (NYSE) – Surety Insurance | Analyysi – Clarifo