GONasdaqRetail-Grocery StoresUS GAAP · USD

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates a network of independently run discount grocery stores in the United States, selling name-brand consumables and fresh products at prices typically well below conventional retailers. Its model combines opportunistic buying, localized merchandising by independent operators, and a neighborhood-store format aimed at value-conscious shoppers.

Revenue4,689m USD
+0.0 %y/y
Operating profit (EBIT)-222m USD
+0.0 %y/y
EBIT margin-4.7%
+0.0 ppy/y
Net income-225m USD
+0.0 %y/y
Free cash flow23.8m USD
+0.0 %y/y

Fiscal year 2026 · change from previous year

Development 2021–2026

-1,00001,0002,0003,0004,0005,000m USD2021: 3,135 m USD2021: EBIT 107 m USD20212022: 3,578 m USD2022: EBIT 95 m USD20222023: 3,969 m USD2023: EBIT 126 m USD20232024: 4,372 m USD2024: EBIT 78 m USD20242025: 4,689 m USD2025: EBIT -222 m USD20252026: 4,689 m USD2026: EBIT -222 m USD20264,689-222
RevenueOperating profit (EBIT)

Business

Share of revenue
Consumables70 %

Packaged food, beverages, household essentials and other repeat-purchase grocery items.

Fresh products20 %

Perishables such as produce, dairy, meat and other fresh grocery offerings.

Opportunistic general merchandise10 %

Non-core grocery items and closeout buys that vary by store and supply availability.

Products

Reported · share of revenue
62.3%37.7%FY2026100 %
  • Non Perishable62.3 %
  • Perishable37.7 %

Source: 10-K FY2026, revenue the company reports per product line (SEC XBRL). Shares are of the lines shown and add up to 100 %.

Customers

The company serves value-oriented grocery shoppers who trade down for lower prices on branded food and household essentials. Its stores also attract customers looking for a changing assortment and local convenience, especially in markets where price sensitivity is high. Independent operators help tailor the offer to neighborhood preferences, which supports repeat traffic and basket-building.

Value-conscious grocery shoppers

Households that buy everyday food and household essentials at lower prices to stretch budgets.

Brand-seeking bargain shoppers

Customers who want national brands and fresh products but are willing to accept a changing assortment.

Local convenience shoppers

Nearby residents who value a neighborhood store format and quick trips for repeat purchases.

Inflation-sensitive consumers

Shoppers who trade down when food-at-home inflation, fuel costs, or wages pressure budgets.

Strategy

The company is simplifying its near-term growth plan to build a stronger base for scalable expansion and better returns on invested capital. Current priorities include optimizing new store openings, improving distribution efficiency, refreshing stores in the Southeast, and lowering the cost base through a restructuring plan.

Optimize new store growthShort term

Concentrating openings in higher-probability markets should improve sales productivity and distribution efficiency.

Improve profitability and cash flowMedium term

Restructuring is intended to reduce overhead and support stronger long-term returns.

Build the Southeast platformMedium term

The United Grocery Outlet acquisition gives the company a new regional base for future expansion.

Geography

Grocery Outlet operates entirely in the United States and had 543 stores across 16 states as of March 29, 2025. Its core base remains the West Coast, while the 2024 acquisition of United Grocery Outlet expanded the footprint into the Southeast and added a distribution center. Management is now focusing new store growth on existing markets and a smaller set of adjacent markets to improve productivity and returns.

Risks

The business is exposed to intense price competition, because its value proposition depends on maintaining a clear price gap versus conventional grocers and discounters. It also faces execution risk from restructuring, store openings, and acquisition integration, while demand can swing with consumer income, food inflation, and government benefit programs. As a grocery retailer, it is also sensitive to supply availability, product mix, and margin pressure from opportunistic sourcing.

Sorted by severity
LowMediumHighLowMediumHighImpact →Likelihood →Competitive pricing pressure1Restructuring execution risk2Store expansion and site selection risk3Consumer demand sensitivity4Acquisition integration risk5
Impact is the risk’s severity and likelihood how probable it is over the next few years, both assessed from the company’s reports. Numbers match the list.
  1. Competitive pricing pressureImpact: HighLikelihood: High

    The company relies on an extreme-value proposition, so stronger promotions by rivals can reduce traffic and margin.

    Exposure: Store traffic and gross margin

  2. Restructuring execution riskImpact: HighLikelihood: High

    Lease terminations, site changes and cost actions can create charges before benefits are realized.

    Exposure: Operating income and cash flow

  3. Store expansion and site selection riskImpact: MediumLikelihood: High

    Growth depends on opening productive stores in the right markets and avoiding weak locations.

    Exposure: New store returns

  4. Consumer demand sensitivityImpact: MediumLikelihood: High

    Spending can weaken if wages, fuel costs or food inflation pressure discretionary income.

    Exposure: Comparable store sales

  5. Acquisition integration riskImpact: MediumLikelihood: Medium

    United Grocery Outlet must be integrated into merchandising, logistics and marketing systems.

    Exposure: Southeast expansion platform

Accounting

Judgemental items
Revenue recognition at point of sale

Sales are recorded when customers check out, so reported revenue is tied to store traffic and basket mix.

Impact: Affects quarterly net sales and comparable-store trends

Discount accounting

Customer discounts are generally recognized as reductions to net sales, except when funded solely by IOs.

Impact: Affects reported revenue and gross margin

Restructuring charges

Lease terminations, site exits and other restructuring actions create near-term expenses before benefits appear.

Impact: Can materially affect operating income and cash flow

Acquisition accounting

The United Grocery Outlet acquisition changes reported assets, liabilities and integration-related costs.

Impact: Affects comparability and future expense run-rate

Capitalized store and supply-chain investments

New stores and distribution investments increase property and equipment balances and depreciation over time.

Impact: Affects capex, depreciation and future operating leverage

Publicly listed companies with a comparable business focus.

Last updated: 24/09/2026