FLYNasdaqGuided Missiles & Space Vehicles & PartsUS GAAP · USD

Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. builds launch vehicles and spacecraft systems for government, national security, and commercial space missions. The company combines dedicated launch services with lunar and orbital spacecraft solutions, and it has positioned itself around responsive, fixed-price mission execution and milestone-based contracts.

Revenue160m USD
+163.0 %y/y
Operating profit (EBIT)-261m USD
−24.5 %y/y
EBIT margin-163.1%
+181.5 ppy/y
Net income-298m USD
−29.1 %y/y
Free cash flow-238m USD
−24.9 %y/y

Fiscal year 2025 · change from previous year

Development 2023–2025

-300-200-1000100200m USD2023: 55 m USD2023: EBIT -132 m USD20232024: 61 m USD2024: EBIT -209 m USD20242025: 160 m USD2025: EBIT -261 m USD2025160-261
RevenueOperating profit (EBIT)

Business

Share of revenue
Launch25 %

Dedicated launch and integration services for payloads requiring transport to orbit.

Spacecraft Solutions75 %

Lunar and orbital spacecraft missions, including lander, transit, operations, and data services.

Products

Reported · share of revenue
82.1%17.9%FY2025100 %
  • Spacecraft Solutions Revenue82.1 %
  • Launch Revenue17.9 %

Source: 10-K FY2025, revenue the company reports per product line (SEC XBRL). Shares are of the lines shown and add up to 100 %.

Customers

Firefly sells primarily to U.S. government and national security agencies, plus commercial aerospace customers that need dedicated launch or mission-specific spacecraft services. Its backlog and multi-launch agreements suggest customers value schedule reliability, fixed-price execution, and the ability to support complex missions with rapid response times.

U.S. government and civil space agencies

Buys launch, lunar landing, and mission support services for science and exploration programs, including NASA missions.

National security and defense agencies

Buys responsive launch and spacecraft solutions for defense, surveillance, and space-domain missions.

Aerospace and defense primes

Partners and customers that subcontract or procure launch and mission services for integrated space programs.

Commercial space customers

Buys dedicated launch and spacecraft services for payload deployment and orbital operations.

Strategy

Firefly is focused on scaling launch cadence, improving margins, and expanding its mission portfolio across launch and spacecraft solutions. Management is also investing in R&D, completing Eclipse development, and using Blue Ghost and Elytra to open adjacent markets such as payload hosting, transport, utility, and data services.

Scale launch operations and improve unit economicsShort term

Higher launch cadence should improve operating leverage and reduce per-launch cost.

Expand spacecraft mission offeringsMedium term

Broader spacecraft services can increase addressable market and reduce dependence on launch cadence alone.

Complete Eclipse developmentMedium term

A larger launch vehicle can support more mission types and larger payload demand.

Geography

Firefly is a U.S.-based company, and its business is centered on U.S. government, defense, and commercial customers. The reports describe its mission as serving customers across the globe, but no country-level revenue split is disclosed in the excerpts provided.

Risks

Firefly’s results depend on successful mission execution, regulatory approvals, and the timing of milestone-based contracts, so delays or launch failures can quickly affect revenue recognition and backlog conversion. The company also faces integration risk from the SciTec acquisition, plus the usual aerospace risks around cost overruns, technical complexity, and customer concentration in government and defense programs.

Sorted by severity
Mission execution and launch cadence riskHigh

Revenue depends on launch initiation and successful mission milestones, so delays directly affect recognition and backlog conversion.

ExposureAlphaEclipseBlue GhostOther mission programs
Fixed-price contract margin riskHigh

If costs exceed estimates or milestones slip, the company may absorb losses on contracts.

Exposure: Launch and spacecraft contracts

SciTec acquisition integration riskMedium

Integration issues could prevent expected synergies and disrupt operations or reporting systems.

Exposure: Post-acquisition technology and reporting integration

Regulatory and licensing riskMedium

Launch and mission programs require approvals that can delay execution and revenue timing.

Exposure: U.S. launch and space mission operations

Accounting

Judgemental items
Revenue recognition on fixed-price contracts

Revenue is recognized at launch initiation or over time using cost-to-cost methods, so estimate changes can move revenue and profit between periods.

Impact: Can materially affect quarterly revenue, gross margin, and backlog conversion

Cost-to-complete estimates and loss provisions

Management must estimate subcontractor, labor, material, and overhead costs; overruns can trigger contract loss accruals.

Impact: Can create sudden margin pressure and earnings volatility

Seasonality and mission timing

Launch and spacecraft milestones are lumpy, making quarter-to-quarter comparisons less representative.

Impact: Affects revenue timing and comparability across periods

Acquisition accounting and intangible valuation

SciTec integration may require fair value measurements, goodwill allocation, and future impairment testing.

Impact: Can affect reported assets, amortization, and impairment risk

Publicly listed companies with a comparable business focus.

Last updated: 24/09/2026